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Thursday, 27 August 2015

SWITZERLAND MAY FACE FIRST RECESSION IN SIX YEARS. THANKS, FRANC!

The data is due on Friday, and many analysts now expect gross domestic product to have shrunk 0.1 percent in last quarter, a second consecutive contraction that would mark the first recession in six years.

Seven months after the central bank removed its currency cap, Switzerland is dealing with declining exports, stagnant manufacturing and plunging prices.

The local currency has appreciated 11 percent against the euro since the central bank’s unexpected January 15 decision to opt for a free float.

The central bank also cut its deposit rate to a record low of minus 0.75 percent and pledged currency interventions as needed. Its next rate decision is on Sept. 17, and Jordan said that a policy change isn’t imminent.

For SNB President Thomas Jordan, who has defended the decision, the weaker near-term backdrop will match his assessment when policy-makers gather in three weeks for their quarterly policy meeting.

In an interview with UnternehmerZeitung last week, Jordan said that the current monetary policy is taking today's difficult situation into account. “We expect the economy to return to a growth path in the second half of the year.”

A number of economists, however, consider that the fall may be short-lived, predicting growth of 0.1 percent this quarter and 0.2 percent in the last three months of the year.

Although growth is expected to resume, surveys indicate a subdued recovery. A manufacturing index has signaled contracted almost every month this year and consumer confidence dipped to its lowest in more than three years in July.

The slowdown in China could hamper economic momentum, as global demand will become unpredictable, analysts say.

In July exports of watches to eight leading Asian markets dipped, with China tumbling almost 40 percent. Overall exports to China dropped 1.7 percent last month. Shipments to the euro area in the first half, which account for 44 percent of sales abroad, fell 8 percent.

Swiss companies have been looking to Asia to offset weakness in Europe, with Switzerland clinching a free-trade agreement with the world’s second-largest economy last year, Bloomberg reports.

Credit: mql5.com

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Sunday, 23 August 2015

YOUNG AND RICH: TOP 10 BILLIONAIRES UNDER 35

The world has one percent of the people which really made a lot of money in young age. Agency Wealth-X compiled a top list of billionaires under 35, where is dominated by male "technopreneurs" and features more than one college dropout.
For example, on the top spot - Facebook's Mark Zuckerberg, whose $41.6 billion net worth far outstrips the rest on the list. For two others in the top five the social networking site helped create massive fortunes too - for Dustin Moskovitz and Eduardo Saverin. Their sites are worth $9.3 billion and $5.3 billion respectively, these guys was co-founders Facebook with Zuckerberg before pursuing other tech ventures.
The smash success of Airbnb puts three names on the list. Co-founders Nathan Blecharczyk, Brian Chesky, and Joe Gebbia each boast personal fortunes of about $3 billion thanks to the short-term apartment rentals site. Women also have two places among the top 10, led by Chinese real estate heiress Yang Huiyan at no. 3 with a net worth of $5.9 billion. America's youngest self-made female billionaire, 31-year old Elizabeth Holmes, generated her $4.5 billion fortune through biotech Theranos. And she didn't even need a college degree. Holmes left Stanford University at 19 with a plan to start her own company. Theranos founded in 2003.
Snapchat co-creator Evan Spiegel at just 25 years of age was the youngest person in the top 20 on 15th spot with a $1.9 billion. His popular messaging app has been preparing for an IPO after it rejected a $3 billion acquisition offer from Facebook in 2013.
Here's the top 10:
1. Mark Zuckerberg, $41.6 billion, Facebook
2. Dustin Moskovitz, $9.3 billion, Asana
3. Yang Huiyan, $5.9 billion, Country Garden Holdings
4. Eduardo Saverin, $5.3 billion, 99
5. Scott Duncan, $5 billion, Enterprise Product Partners
6. Elizabeth Holmes, $4.5 billion, Theranos
7. Nathan Blecharczyk, $3 billion, Airbnb
8. Brian Chesky, $3 billion, Airbnb
9. Joe Gebbia, $3 billion, Airbnb
10. Thomas Persson, $2.7 billion, Hennes & Mauritz
Credit: mql5.com

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11 CURRENCIES THAT MAY FALL AFTER THE YUAN AND TENGE

On Thursday Kazakhstan has shocked global markets - its national currency was plunge on 23 percent. Kazakhstan abandoned control of tenge rate. Vietnam also devalued the dong, while freely traded currencies (the South African rand and Turkey’s lira) extended losses.

The trigger for the wave of depreciations was China’s decision to weaken the yuan on Aug. 11. That added to the woes of emerging markets already reeling from a looming increase in U.S. interest rates and weakness in oil prices.

There are some currencies that are among those most at risk from this conflux of global developments:

- Saudi Arabia’s riyal. Saudi Arabia has about $672 billion in foreign reserves, but speculators are betting on a break of the currency regime as crude oil tumbled to a seven-year low.

- Turkmenistan’s manat. This nation with close economic ties to Russia devalued its currency by 19 percent in January. Analysts from SEB AB wait for further weakening a 20 percent in the next six months.

- Tajikistan’s somoni. The country has close ties with Kazakhstan and so SEB expects a depreciation of 10 to 20 percent.

- Armenia’s dram. The currency has lost 15 percent in the past year, compared with a 46 percent drop in the ruble. A quarter of the country’s trade is with Russia.

- Kyrgyzstan’s som. The weaker tenge will put pressure the som because of this country’s ties to Kazakhstan.

- Egypt’s pound. Traders are betting the pound will weaken about 22 percent in a year.

- Turkey’s lira. It’s one of the world’s worst-performing currencies since China’s devaluation on Aug. 11. An escalation in political violence and the probability of early elections compound the issues.

- Nigeria’s naira. The currency will fall more than 20 percent against the dollar over the next year, traders think.

- Ghana’s cedi. Ghana is also an oil exporter, but its main problems are mainly fiscal imbalances, rising inflation and increasing debt.

- Zambia’s kwacha. The country is heavily exposed to China as copper accounts for about 70 percent of exports.

- Malaysia’s ringgit. The currency slid to a 17-year low on Thursday and foreign-exchange reserves fell below the $100 billion mark for the first time since 2010.

Credit: mql5.com

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